I know this seems like sarcastic, dickish gloating, (and largely it is) but also I am trying to make a meta point here, and it's just too obvious to ignore.
The headline of this seed is hysterical. PPP of course very accurately tracked the actual election results with their polling. And Nate Silver, another of Neil Stevens' targets in this shockingly deluded Redstate posting, called the election with extremely sharp precision. Yet he says:
In science, it’s not just that you got the answer you wanted. It’s the process that matters. PPP, Nate Silver, and the New York Times – the heroes in New York Magazine’s story – are not practicing science. They’re taking their own beliefs and wrapping them up in a cargo cult.
I'm not sure Mr. Stevens comprehends that the "process" that mattered was accurately counting polls, accounting for the observed accuracy of said polls based on past elections, swirling in other electoral barometers and weighting them for previous observed impact, and then fine-tuning that model to actually produce a reliable result.
In other words, doing actual science that works. I can't figure out how Stevens gets from "Nate Silver accurately predicted the election" to "but his process is flawed." What part of "prediction" and "accurate" is unclear to Stevens?
The only way I can figure it is that Neil Stevens like virtually every single Republican active in the party today refuses to face actual reality and stop smoking what he's selling.
It has been all manner of entertaining and also kind of a little bit sad to read right-wing Monday morning quarterbacks sniping at the people who had it right all along.
So, for all those thinking that the GOP is going to use this historical bruising as a clarion call to wake up from their delusion that they can make their own reality, I don't think so, Tim. This is a party that increasingly refuses to be saved from itself. This is a movement that increasingly refuses to accept who it really is, where it really is, and what it really is.
The GOP seriously needs a dose of self-introspection, and maybe a 12-step program. To me, Neil Stevens' bleating about how they were still right about the polls goes in one ear, and becomes "I can quit drinking whenever I want" because that is the kind of delusional justification one hears from an out-of-control addict. No, Neil, you can't quit drinking whenever you want. You have to admit you have a problem with bullshit before you can fix your bullshit problem.